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Syllabus The Philosophical Foundations of Decision Theory - 15757
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Last update 31-01-2022
HU Credits: 2

Degree/Cycle: 2nd degree (Master)

Responsible Department: Philosophy

Semester: 2nd Semester

Teaching Languages: Hebrew

Campus: Mt. Scopus

Course/Module Coordinator: Ittay Nissan-Rozen

Coordinator Email: ittay.nissan@mail.huji.ac.il

Coordinator Office Hours:

Teaching Staff:
Dr. Ittay Nissan

Course/Module description:
We will get familiar with Savage's VNM's and Jeffrey's versions of normative decision theory and will discuss some foundational issues concerning all three versions.

Course/Module aims:
A philosophical introduction to normative decision theory

Learning outcomes - On successful completion of this module, students should be able to:
to philosophize about decision theory

Attendance requirements(%):
100

Teaching arrangement and method of instruction: texts-based course

Course/Module Content:

1. Introduction – no presentation, no reading.
2. The orthodox theory – no presentation. Read: https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/decision-theory/.
3. Jeffrey’s theory – no presentation. Read: https://www.jstor.org/stable/pdf/188653.pdf.
4. The Newcomb problem. Read: http://www.princeton.edu/~adame/papers/newcomb-university/newcomb-university.pdf, presenter reads also: https://www.cambridge.org/core/books/newcombs-problem/introduction/A35BD0BD2900566FB6CB93A167D8748B.
5. Evidential vs. Casual Decision Theory. Read: https://www.jstor.org/stable/pdf/41684358.pdf, Presenter reads also: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/nous.12353?casa_token&eq;9YiL3HxHWf4AAAAA%3A7GuQxhQnbzy_tmFMeI9xL47j7plyqq_F3IrMDP7ECwtsMT5tq06zYimUMcsmZgJF4ojs91a4Q3XEd08Vmw.
6. The Transitivity axiom. Read: https://www.jstor.org/stable/pdf/2234772.pdf?casa_token&eq;X9zOTFfuQjMAAAAA:QMfup5MFztJbI_cRT0LI--RXS1iVAWRRGWE6_fVTKU_VBWBEy4ul22VvISh2whFRSruBjy3gavSgKy2YQjbKblegdsSTGuQhQzqaB0-DGEWK07nbV1XlIA, presenter reads also: https://philpapers.org/rec/BOVIP (The paper is not available in the link but I have the paper + a permission to send it to students).
7. The Completeness axiom - https://web.mit.edu/~casparh/www/Papers/CJHareTaketheSugar.pdf, presenter reads also: http://rdoody.com/OpaqueSweeteningTransitivity.pdf. somthinghttps://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/00048402.2018.1520269
8. The Sure-thing Principle and the Allias Paradox – read: https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/1350178X.2020.1857424, presenter reads also: https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/economics-and-philosophy/article/allais-paradox-what-it-became-what-it-really-was-what-it-now-suggests-to-us/98F387A6C3FA59EDE82D75F430E43866.
9. Risk Weighted Expected Utility Theory – read: https://philpapers.org/archive/BUCRAT.pdf, presenter reads also: https://quod.lib.umich.edu/p/phimp/3521354.0019.016/1.
10. Criticism of REUT – read: https://johannathoma.files.wordpress.com/2018/06/risk-aversion-and-the-long-run-ethics-final.pdf, presenter reads also https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/canadian-journal-of-philosophy/article/abs/costs-of-abandoning-the-surething-principle/CD28A76A004678E76E046F6D1FB98A2E.
11. Risk-attitudes in Jeffrey’s framework – read: https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/full/10.1093/bjps/axx035, presenter reads also: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11098-022-01778-6?utm_source&eq;xmol&utm_medium&eq;affiliate&utm_content&eq;meta&utm_campaign&eq;DDCN_1_GL01_metadata.
12. Mentalism vs. Behaviorism about preferences, utilities and beliefs – read: https://research-information.bris.ac.uk/ws/portalfiles/portal/70387986/On_Interpretation_Decision_TheoryECONPHILrevised.pdf. Presenter reads also: https://journals.publishing.umich.edu/ergo/article/1131/galley/98/view/.
13. Criticisms of the role of representation theorems – read: https://jonathanweisberg.org/publication/2011%20Representation%20Theorems%20and%20the%20Foundations%20of%20Decision%20Theory/, Presenter reads also: http://www.pgrim.org/philosophersannual/34articles/easwarandecision.pdf.
14. Radical Interpretation and decision-theory – read: https://www.jstor.org/stable/20114928?seq&eq;1#metadata_info_tab_contents, presenter also reads: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11229-021-03078-8.

Required Reading:

1. Introduction – no presentation, no reading.
2. The orthodox theory – no presentation. Read: https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/decision-theory/.
3. Jeffrey’s theory – no presentation. Read: https://www.jstor.org/stable/pdf/188653.pdf.
4. The Newcomb problem. Read: http://www.princeton.edu/~adame/papers/newcomb-university/newcomb-university.pdf, presenter reads also: https://www.cambridge.org/core/books/newcombs-problem/introduction/A35BD0BD2900566FB6CB93A167D8748B.
5. Evidential vs. Casual Decision Theory. Read: https://www.jstor.org/stable/pdf/41684358.pdf, Presenter reads also: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/nous.12353?casa_token&eq;9YiL3HxHWf4AAAAA%3A7GuQxhQnbzy_tmFMeI9xL47j7plyqq_F3IrMDP7ECwtsMT5tq06zYimUMcsmZgJF4ojs91a4Q3XEd08Vmw.
6. The Transitivity axiom. Read: https://www.jstor.org/stable/pdf/2234772.pdf?casa_token&eq;X9zOTFfuQjMAAAAA:QMfup5MFztJbI_cRT0LI--RXS1iVAWRRGWE6_fVTKU_VBWBEy4ul22VvISh2whFRSruBjy3gavSgKy2YQjbKblegdsSTGuQhQzqaB0-DGEWK07nbV1XlIA, presenter reads also: https://philpapers.org/rec/BOVIP (The paper is not available in the link but I have the paper + a permission to send it to students).
7. The Completeness axiom - https://web.mit.edu/~casparh/www/Papers/CJHareTaketheSugar.pdf, presenter reads also: http://rdoody.com/OpaqueSweeteningTransitivity.pdf. somthinghttps://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/00048402.2018.1520269
8. The Sure-thing Principle and the Allias Paradox – read: https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/1350178X.2020.1857424, presenter reads also: https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/economics-and-philosophy/article/allais-paradox-what-it-became-what-it-really-was-what-it-now-suggests-to-us/98F387A6C3FA59EDE82D75F430E43866.
9. Risk Weighted Expected Utility Theory – read: https://philpapers.org/archive/BUCRAT.pdf, presenter reads also: https://quod.lib.umich.edu/p/phimp/3521354.0019.016/1.
10. Criticism of REUT – read: https://johannathoma.files.wordpress.com/2018/06/risk-aversion-and-the-long-run-ethics-final.pdf, presenter reads also https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/canadian-journal-of-philosophy/article/abs/costs-of-abandoning-the-surething-principle/CD28A76A004678E76E046F6D1FB98A2E.
11. Risk-attitudes in Jeffrey’s framework – read: https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/full/10.1093/bjps/axx035, presenter reads also: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11098-022-01778-6?utm_source&eq;xmol&utm_medium&eq;affiliate&utm_content&eq;meta&utm_campaign&eq;DDCN_1_GL01_metadata.
12. Mentalism vs. Behaviorism about preferences, utilities and beliefs – read: https://research-information.bris.ac.uk/ws/portalfiles/portal/70387986/On_Interpretation_Decision_TheoryECONPHILrevised.pdf. Presenter reads also: https://journals.publishing.umich.edu/ergo/article/1131/galley/98/view/.
13. Criticisms of the role of representation theorems – read: https://jonathanweisberg.org/publication/2011%20Representation%20Theorems%20and%20the%20Foundations%20of%20Decision%20Theory/, Presenter reads also: http://www.pgrim.org/philosophersannual/34articles/easwarandecision.pdf.
14. Radical Interpretation and decision-theory – read: https://www.jstor.org/stable/20114928?seq&eq;1#metadata_info_tab_contents, presenter also reads: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11229-021-03078-8.

4. Michael D. Resnik, Choices: an introduction to decision theory, chapter 3 (first half).
5. Michael D. Resnik, Choices: an introduction to decision theory, chapter 3 (second half).
6. Michael D. Resnik, Choices: an introduction to decision theory, chapter 4 (first half).
7. Michael D. Resnik, Choices: an introduction to decision theory, chapter 4 (second half).
8. Meacham, G. C. and Weisberg, J. (2011), Representation theorems and the foundations of decision theory .
9. Richard, C. Jeffrey, The Logic of Decision, chapter 4.
10. Richard, C. Jeffrey, The Logic of Decision, chapter 5.
11. Richard, C. Jeffrey, The Logic of Decision, Appendix.
12. Andy Egan, Some counterexamples to causal decision theory
13. Huw Price, Causation, Chance, and the rational significance of supernatural evidence, (first half).
14. Huw Price, Causation, Chance, and the rational significance of supernatural evidence, (second half).

Additional Reading Material:
on student's request

Course/Module evaluation:
End of year written/oral examination 0 %
Presentation 40 %
Participation in Tutorials 10 %
Project work 50 %
Assignments 0 %
Reports 0 %
Research project 0 %
Quizzes 0 %
Other 0 %

Additional information:
N/A
 
Students needing academic accommodations based on a disability should contact the Center for Diagnosis and Support of Students with Learning Disabilities, or the Office for Students with Disabilities, as early as possible, to discuss and coordinate accommodations, based on relevant documentation.
For further information, please visit the site of the Dean of Students Office.
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