HU Credits:
2
Degree/Cycle:
2nd degree (Master)
Responsible Department:
Philosophy
Semester:
2nd Semester
Teaching Languages:
Hebrew
Campus:
Mt. Scopus
Course/Module Coordinator:
Ittay Nissan-Rozen
Coordinator Office Hours:
Teaching Staff:
Dr. Ittay Nissan
Course/Module description:
We will get familiar with Savage's VNM's and Jeffrey's versions of normative decision theory and will discuss some foundational issues concerning all three versions.
Course/Module aims:
A philosophical introduction to normative decision theory
Learning outcomes - On successful completion of this module, students should be able to:
to philosophize about decision theory
Attendance requirements(%):
100
Teaching arrangement and method of instruction:
texts-based course
Course/Module Content:
1. Introduction – no presentation, no reading.
2. The orthodox theory – no presentation. Read: https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/decision-theory/.
3. Jeffrey’s theory – no presentation. Read: https://www.jstor.org/stable/pdf/188653.pdf.
4. The Newcomb problem. Read: http://www.princeton.edu/~adame/papers/newcomb-university/newcomb-university.pdf, presenter reads also: https://www.cambridge.org/core/books/newcombs-problem/introduction/A35BD0BD2900566FB6CB93A167D8748B.
5. Evidential vs. Casual Decision Theory. Read: https://www.jstor.org/stable/pdf/41684358.pdf, Presenter reads also: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/nous.12353?casa_token&eq;9YiL3HxHWf4AAAAA%3A7GuQxhQnbzy_tmFMeI9xL47j7plyqq_F3IrMDP7ECwtsMT5tq06zYimUMcsmZgJF4ojs91a4Q3XEd08Vmw.
6. The Transitivity axiom. Read: https://www.jstor.org/stable/pdf/2234772.pdf?casa_token&eq;X9zOTFfuQjMAAAAA:QMfup5MFztJbI_cRT0LI--RXS1iVAWRRGWE6_fVTKU_VBWBEy4ul22VvISh2whFRSruBjy3gavSgKy2YQjbKblegdsSTGuQhQzqaB0-DGEWK07nbV1XlIA, presenter reads also: https://philpapers.org/rec/BOVIP (The paper is not available in the link but I have the paper + a permission to send it to students).
7. The Completeness axiom - https://web.mit.edu/~casparh/www/Papers/CJHareTaketheSugar.pdf, presenter reads also: http://rdoody.com/OpaqueSweeteningTransitivity.pdf. somthinghttps://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/00048402.2018.1520269
8. The Sure-thing Principle and the Allias Paradox – read: https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/1350178X.2020.1857424, presenter reads also: https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/economics-and-philosophy/article/allais-paradox-what-it-became-what-it-really-was-what-it-now-suggests-to-us/98F387A6C3FA59EDE82D75F430E43866.
9. Risk Weighted Expected Utility Theory – read: https://philpapers.org/archive/BUCRAT.pdf, presenter reads also: https://quod.lib.umich.edu/p/phimp/3521354.0019.016/1.
10. Criticism of REUT – read: https://johannathoma.files.wordpress.com/2018/06/risk-aversion-and-the-long-run-ethics-final.pdf, presenter reads also https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/canadian-journal-of-philosophy/article/abs/costs-of-abandoning-the-surething-principle/CD28A76A004678E76E046F6D1FB98A2E.
11. Risk-attitudes in Jeffrey’s framework – read: https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/full/10.1093/bjps/axx035, presenter reads also: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11098-022-01778-6?utm_source&eq;xmol&utm_medium&eq;affiliate&utm_content&eq;meta&utm_campaign&eq;DDCN_1_GL01_metadata.
12. Mentalism vs. Behaviorism about preferences, utilities and beliefs – read: https://research-information.bris.ac.uk/ws/portalfiles/portal/70387986/On_Interpretation_Decision_TheoryECONPHILrevised.pdf. Presenter reads also: https://journals.publishing.umich.edu/ergo/article/1131/galley/98/view/.
13. Criticisms of the role of representation theorems – read: https://jonathanweisberg.org/publication/2011%20Representation%20Theorems%20and%20the%20Foundations%20of%20Decision%20Theory/, Presenter reads also: http://www.pgrim.org/philosophersannual/34articles/easwarandecision.pdf.
14. Radical Interpretation and decision-theory – read: https://www.jstor.org/stable/20114928?seq&eq;1#metadata_info_tab_contents, presenter also reads: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11229-021-03078-8.
Required Reading:
1. Introduction – no presentation, no reading.
2. The orthodox theory – no presentation. Read: https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/decision-theory/.
3. Jeffrey’s theory – no presentation. Read: https://www.jstor.org/stable/pdf/188653.pdf.
4. The Newcomb problem. Read: http://www.princeton.edu/~adame/papers/newcomb-university/newcomb-university.pdf, presenter reads also: https://www.cambridge.org/core/books/newcombs-problem/introduction/A35BD0BD2900566FB6CB93A167D8748B.
5. Evidential vs. Casual Decision Theory. Read: https://www.jstor.org/stable/pdf/41684358.pdf, Presenter reads also: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/nous.12353?casa_token&eq;9YiL3HxHWf4AAAAA%3A7GuQxhQnbzy_tmFMeI9xL47j7plyqq_F3IrMDP7ECwtsMT5tq06zYimUMcsmZgJF4ojs91a4Q3XEd08Vmw.
6. The Transitivity axiom. Read: https://www.jstor.org/stable/pdf/2234772.pdf?casa_token&eq;X9zOTFfuQjMAAAAA:QMfup5MFztJbI_cRT0LI--RXS1iVAWRRGWE6_fVTKU_VBWBEy4ul22VvISh2whFRSruBjy3gavSgKy2YQjbKblegdsSTGuQhQzqaB0-DGEWK07nbV1XlIA, presenter reads also: https://philpapers.org/rec/BOVIP (The paper is not available in the link but I have the paper + a permission to send it to students).
7. The Completeness axiom - https://web.mit.edu/~casparh/www/Papers/CJHareTaketheSugar.pdf, presenter reads also: http://rdoody.com/OpaqueSweeteningTransitivity.pdf. somthinghttps://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/00048402.2018.1520269
8. The Sure-thing Principle and the Allias Paradox – read: https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/1350178X.2020.1857424, presenter reads also: https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/economics-and-philosophy/article/allais-paradox-what-it-became-what-it-really-was-what-it-now-suggests-to-us/98F387A6C3FA59EDE82D75F430E43866.
9. Risk Weighted Expected Utility Theory – read: https://philpapers.org/archive/BUCRAT.pdf, presenter reads also: https://quod.lib.umich.edu/p/phimp/3521354.0019.016/1.
10. Criticism of REUT – read: https://johannathoma.files.wordpress.com/2018/06/risk-aversion-and-the-long-run-ethics-final.pdf, presenter reads also https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/canadian-journal-of-philosophy/article/abs/costs-of-abandoning-the-surething-principle/CD28A76A004678E76E046F6D1FB98A2E.
11. Risk-attitudes in Jeffrey’s framework – read: https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/full/10.1093/bjps/axx035, presenter reads also: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11098-022-01778-6?utm_source&eq;xmol&utm_medium&eq;affiliate&utm_content&eq;meta&utm_campaign&eq;DDCN_1_GL01_metadata.
12. Mentalism vs. Behaviorism about preferences, utilities and beliefs – read: https://research-information.bris.ac.uk/ws/portalfiles/portal/70387986/On_Interpretation_Decision_TheoryECONPHILrevised.pdf. Presenter reads also: https://journals.publishing.umich.edu/ergo/article/1131/galley/98/view/.
13. Criticisms of the role of representation theorems – read: https://jonathanweisberg.org/publication/2011%20Representation%20Theorems%20and%20the%20Foundations%20of%20Decision%20Theory/, Presenter reads also: http://www.pgrim.org/philosophersannual/34articles/easwarandecision.pdf.
14. Radical Interpretation and decision-theory – read: https://www.jstor.org/stable/20114928?seq&eq;1#metadata_info_tab_contents, presenter also reads: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11229-021-03078-8.
4. Michael D. Resnik, Choices: an introduction to decision theory, chapter 3 (first half).
5. Michael D. Resnik, Choices: an introduction to decision theory, chapter 3 (second half).
6. Michael D. Resnik, Choices: an introduction to decision theory, chapter 4 (first half).
7. Michael D. Resnik, Choices: an introduction to decision theory, chapter 4 (second half).
8. Meacham, G. C. and Weisberg, J. (2011), Representation theorems and the foundations of decision theory .
9. Richard, C. Jeffrey, The Logic of Decision, chapter 4.
10. Richard, C. Jeffrey, The Logic of Decision, chapter 5.
11. Richard, C. Jeffrey, The Logic of Decision, Appendix.
12. Andy Egan, Some counterexamples to causal decision theory
13. Huw Price, Causation, Chance, and the rational significance of supernatural evidence, (first half).
14. Huw Price, Causation, Chance, and the rational significance of supernatural evidence, (second half).
Additional Reading Material:
on student's request
Course/Module evaluation:
End of year written/oral examination 0 %
Presentation 40 %
Participation in Tutorials 10 %
Project work 50 %
Assignments 0 %
Reports 0 %
Research project 0 %
Quizzes 0 %
Other 0 %
Additional information:
N/A
|